financialJuice : 98.29%๊ฐ€ 25bp ์ธํ•˜ ์ „๋ง

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/1980583099391185292


fedwatch : 25bp ์ธํ•˜ 98.9% / ๋™๊ฒฐ 1.1%

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html



์ด์ค‘ ์•ฝ 71%๋Š” ์˜ฌํ•ด 2๋ฒˆ์˜ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธํ•˜๋ฅผ ์ „๋ง

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/1980583021175796168



33๋ช…์ค‘ 25๋ช…์€ ๋งŒ์•ฝ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ๊ธฐ(๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์‚ฌ์ดํด์ธ๋“ฏ)์— ํฐ ์œ„ํ—˜์ด๋ผ ํ•˜๋ฉด ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋‚ฎ์€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฌธ์ œ๊ฐ€ ๋  ํ™•๋ฅ ์ด ๋†’๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ณด๋Š”๋“ฏ

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/1980583156819587390


์ฐธ๊ณ ) ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค ์‹ค์ ๋ฐœํ‘œ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์ด๋ผ ๋“ค์‘ฅ๋‚ ์‘ฅํ•˜๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์ด๋ฒˆ์ฃผ๋Š” ์•„๋ฌด๊ฒƒ๋„ ์•ˆํ•˜๋Š”๊ฒŒ