๋ ˆ๋ฒจ(์ง€์ง€/์ €ํ•ญ) ์„ค์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฒ• 1: ์„œ๋ฌธ

https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=833165


๋ ˆ๋ฒจ(์ง€์ง€/์ €ํ•ญ) ์„ค์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฒ• 2: ์›”๋ด‰ํŽธ

https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=835683


๋ ˆ๋ฒจ(์ง€์ง€/์ €ํ•ญ) ์„ค์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฒ• 3: ์ฃผ๋ด‰ํŽธ

https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=836773


๋ ˆ๋ฒจ(์ง€์ง€/์ €ํ•ญ) ์„ค์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฒ• 4: ์ผ๋ด‰ํŽธ

https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=838243



THE WEEKLY



์›”๊ฐ„ ์ฐจํŠธ์—์„œ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์„ ์ฒดํฌํ•œ ๋‹ค์Œ์— ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ์ฐจํŠธ๋กœ ๋„˜์–ด๊ฐ„๋‹ค

๋‚ด๊ฐ€ ๊ทธ์–ด๋‘” ์ด์ „ ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์€ ์•„๋ž˜์™€ ๊ฐ™์œผ๋ฉฐ

์ด๋Š” ์›”๊ฐ„ ์ฐจํŠธ์—์„œ ๊ทธ๋ฆฐ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ž‘์€ ํ™•์—ฐํ•œ ์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค


Now after we have seen how to mark monthly levels, let's move on to the weekly.

My Previous weekly levels are shown, and notice how they are completely different from the monthly.



๋‹ค์‹œ ๋งํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋งํ•  ๋•Œ๋Š” ์‹œ๊ฐ€์™€ ์ข…๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ๋งํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค

To reiterate, when we t,alk about levels, we are t,alking about the close and the open.



์ฐจํŠธ๋ฅผ ๊นจ๋—ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ณด๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ ์‹œ๊ฐ€์™€ ์ข…๊ฐ€ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ๋งŒ ๊ทธ์–ด๋‘์—ˆ๊ณ 

์ฐจํ›„์— ๊ณ ์ ๊ณผ ์ €์  ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ ๋˜ํ•œ ํ‘œ์‹œํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.


To keep the charts clean,

I have only market the Levels of close and open.

Later we will also mark the high and the low.







์œ„์— ์ฐจํŠธ์˜ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์„ ๋ณด๋ฉด

์‹œ์žฅ์ด ๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์›€์ง์ด๋Š” ๋ฒ”์œ„๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.

์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋Š” ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํ•œ๋‹ฌ๊ฐ„ ํ•ด๋‹น ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€์—์„œ ์‹œ๊ฐ„์„ ๋ณด๋ƒˆ๋Š”๋ฐ

์ด๋ฅผ ์ž์„ธํžˆ ๋ณด๋ฉด ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋งค๋งคํ• ์ง€ ์•„์ด๋””์–ด๋ฅผ ์–ป์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.


If you see the level market above,

you will see that we have essentially a range

where the market spent a lot of time, about a month...

Once we zoom in, we will get a better idea about how to trade it.



์ž์„ธํžˆ ๋ณด๊ธฐ ์ „์— ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€์—์„œ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋งค๋งคํ•˜๋Š”์ง€ ์ž ๊น ์•Œ์•„๋ณด์ž.

Before we zoom in, let us quickly review how to trade a range.





1. ์ €ํ•ญ ์ƒํ–ฅ ๋ŒํŒŒ

2. ๋ฆฌํ…Œ์ŠคํŒ…์— ์ง„์ž…: ์ด์ „ ์ง„์ž…์ž๋“ค์€ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ์„œ ์Šคํƒ‘์ด๊ฑธ๋ฆผ

3. ์ €ํ•ญ

4. ์ €ํ•ญ ์ปจํŽŒ: ์—ฌ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐœ๋ฏธ๋“ค์ด ์ง„์ž…ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ณณ์ž„, ์ƒํ–ฅ ๋ŒํŒŒ๋ฅผ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ์ข…๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ๋งŽ์ด ํ•˜๋Š” ์ง€์ 

5. ๊ฐœ๋ฏธ๋“ค์ด ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์„ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๋Š” ์ง€์ , ๋งˆ์ผ“๋ฉ”์ด์ปค๋Š” ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๋‚ฎ์ถ”๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์„ ์‹น ๊ฐ€์ ธ๊ฐ, ๊ฐœ๋ฏธ๋“ค์€ ์Šคํƒ‘๋กœ์Šค๋ฅผ ์ข…๋ฃŒํ•˜๊ณ , ๋งˆ์ผ“๋ฉ”์ด์ปค๋Š” ์ฃผ๋ฌธ์„ ์ฑ„์›€

6. 5๋ฒˆ๊ณผ ์„ค๋ช…์€ ๊ฐ™์ด๋งŒ ๋กฑ๊ธฐ์ค€์ž„

7. ์Œ๋ฐ”๋‹ฅ(๋”๋ธ”๋ฐ”ํ…€) ํŒจํ„ด: ์บ”๋“ค๊ณผ, ์ด์ „ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€ ๋์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์ง„์ž…, ์Šคํƒ‘๋กœ์Šค๋Š” ์ข€๋” ๋‚ฎ์€ ๊ณณ์— ์„ค์ •



1. ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€์˜ ๊ณ ์ ์—์„œ ์ˆ์„ ๋ณด๊ณ , ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€ ์ €์ ์—์„œ ๋กฑ์„ ๋ณธ๋‹ค.

Look for shorts at highs and longs at lows of the range.


2. ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€์˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ๊ฐ€ ์ปจํŽŒ ๋  ๋•Œ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ŒํŒŒํ•  ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๊ณ  ์„ ๋ฌด๋‹น์งˆ ํ•˜๋ฉด ์•ˆ๋œ๋‹ค.

Don't assume a range will break until it does.


3. 1๊ณผ 2๋ฅผ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ ํ‹€๋ฆด๋•Œ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ฐ˜๋ณตํ•˜๋ฉด ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ๋‚ผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์—์„œ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ ํ‹€๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ •๋„๋Š” ๊ดœ์ฐฎ๋‹ค.

Repeating 1 and 2 will make you gains until you are wrong one and taking one wrong trade after trading the range is positive.



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋ฅผ ์ดํ•ดํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๊ฒŒ ์•„๋ž˜์— ๋งํฌ๋ฅผ ๋‚จ๊ธฐ๊ฒ ์Œ

I will leave links at the end to understand range better.



(ํฐ๊ณ ๋ž˜

๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋Š” ๋ฒ”์œ„์•ˆ์—์„œ ์›€์ง์ด๋ฏ€๋กœ 1์„ ๋ฐ˜๋ณต๋ณตํ•ด์„œ ์‹œํ–‰ํ•˜๋‹ค๊ฐ€.

์ฃผ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋ŒํŒŒ ๋˜๋Š” ์กฐ์ง์ด ๋ณด์ด๋ฉด 2๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ๋ŒํŒŒ๋งค๋งค๋ฅผ ์‹œ๋„ํ•˜๊ณ 

๋‹ค์‹œ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€์—์„œ ๋†€๋ฉด 1์„ ๋ฐ˜๋ณต)



THE WEEKLY RANGE



์ด์ œ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€Ragne๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ž.

์œ„์— ๋ณด์ด๋Š” ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋Š” ์œ„์—์„œ ์›”๋ด‰์œผ๋กœ ๋ณธ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์„ ์ผ๋ด‰์œผ๋กœ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ๋ณธ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค

์œ„์—์„œ ๋ณธ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€ ๋งค๋งค๋ฒ•์œผ๋กœ ์‰ฝ๊ฒŒ ๋งค๋งคํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.


Let's take a look at the Weekly Range.

The range shown above is the same as we have earlier marked,

but on a daily graph for a zoomed in version.

The range tutorial graph on page 10 can be used to trade this range easily



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋ฅผ ์•„๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋งค๋งค๊ฐ€ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ์‰ฌ์›Œ์ง€๋Š”์ง€ ๋ด๋ผ

์—ฌ๊ธฐ์„œ ์ƒ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋ฌธ์ œ๋Š” ํ”„๋ผ์ด์Šค ์•ก์…˜์—์„œ ๋งํ•  ๊ฐ€์งœ๋ŒํŒŒ(ํœฉ์˜) ๋ฟ์ด๋‹ค.


Notice how easy trading becomes when we knows the range.

The only problem you will face here is dealing with deviation and false Breakouts which we will deal in the price Action tutorials.



(๊ฐ€์งœ๋ŒํŒŒ ์ฐธ๊ณ : [EmperorBTC Trading Manual] 4. ์ง€์ง€์„ /์ €ํ•ญ์„ 

https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=565725&exception_mode=recommend&search_head=10&page=2">https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=565725">https://gall.dcinside.com/mgallery/board/view/?id=chartanalysis&no=565725)



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๊ฐ€ ๊นจ์ง€์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฏฟ๊ณ  ๋ŒํŒŒ๋  ๋•Œ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋กฑ, ์ˆ์„ ์ด์šฉํ•œ ๋ฐ•์Šค๊ถŒ ๋งค๋งค๋ฅผ ํ•ด๋ผ

์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ์ฐจํŠธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฉด์„œ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๊ฐ€ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ์œ ์šฉํ•œ์ง€ ์ดํ•ดํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉด ์ข‹๊ฒ ๋‹ค.


Again, assume that a range will continue to exist forever and just trade it, both long and short, until it breaks.

I hope the weekly zoomed in levels have show how to utilise the range



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋ฅผ ๋‘๊ณ  ๋งค๋งคํ–ˆ์„ ๋•Œ ์ง„์ž…์„ ์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ๋งŽ์ด ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์—ˆ๋Š”์ง€ ๋ด๋ผ

๋ฌผ๋ก  ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋Š” ์ •ํ™•ํ•œ ์„ ์ด๋‚˜ ํฌ์ธํŠธ๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ผ ์ˆ˜๋Š” ์—†๋‹ค.

์ด๋ž˜์„œ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ ํ™•๋ณด๋ฅผ ๊ณต๋ถ€ํ•ด์•ผํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.


Look at the number of trades we could have entered by just playing the range.

Of course Ranges will not occur in a straight line and a straight point.

This is what we need to deal with in future by studying liquidity grabs.


(ํฐ๊ณ ๋ž˜: ์œ ๋™์„ฑํ™•ํฌ liquidity grabs๋Š” ์‹œ๊ฐ„๋˜๋ฉด ์ถ”ํ›„์— ์ž‘์„ฑํ•˜๊ฒ ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.)



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋Š” ๋ฐ˜๋ณต๋˜๋Š” ์„ฑํ–ฅ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค.

์•„๋ž˜์— ์˜ˆ์‹œ ์ฐจํŠธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ž

Ranges tend to repeat. A classic example of this move is illustrated in the chart below.




์ตœ๊ณ ์ (ATH)์—์„œ ์‹œ์ž‘๋œ ํฐํ•˜๋ฝ(๋คํ•‘)์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด

์ด์ „์— ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ •ํ•ด๋‘์—ˆ๋˜ ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€ ์•ˆ์œผ๋กœ ๋˜๋Œ์•„ ์™”๋‹ค.


Notice how the current dump from the ATH came back to the same range as we defined on the weekly.



๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๊ฐ€ ๋ฆฌํ…Œ์ŠคํŠธ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ํ”ํ•œ ์ผ์ด๋‹ค.

๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์™„์ „ํžˆ ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋กœ ๋Œ์•„์˜ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋„ ํ”ํ•œ ์ผ์ด๋‹ค.


It is common for Ranges to be tested again,

and the price to completely come back in the same range.



1. ์œ„ ์ฐจํŠธ๋กœ ๋คํ•‘์— ๊ณผ๋ฏผ๋ฐ˜์‘ํ•  ํ•„์š”๊ฐ€ ์—†๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ช…ํ™•ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค€๋‹ค

The above should make it clear that the Dump was not of a surprise or anything to be scared of.


2. ํฐ ํ•˜๋ฝ(๋คํ•‘)์€ ๋‹จ์ˆœํ•œ ํ”„๋ผ์ด์Šค ์•ก์…˜์ด๊ณ , ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ํ‰๊ท ์œผ๋กœ ํšŒ๊ท€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค

The Dump was simple price Action taking place and rotation of price to the mean.



์ด ์‚ฌ์‹ค์„ ํ†ตํ•ด ์ด์ œ๋Š” ๋ ˆ์ธ์ง€๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ํšŒ๊ท€ํ•  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ๊ฒŒ ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฏ€๋กœ

์ด์ œ ๋งŽ์€ ์ข…๋ฅ˜์˜ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์›€์ง์ž„์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋‡Œ๋™์—†์ด ๋Œ€์‘ํ•  ์ˆ˜๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค.


Knowing the above,

the ranged marked and the probability of Ranges to come back to their levels

should prepare you for all kinds of movements, without fear.



๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์ด ์—†์œผ๋ฉด?

๊ทธ๋Ÿผ ๋‹ค์Œ ๋ ˆ๋ฒจ์„ ๊ธฐ๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๋ฉด ๋œ๋‹ค.

Level lost? Prepare for the next level.



(ํฐ๊ณ ๋ž˜



์ด ๊ทธ๋ฆผ๋„ ์ด์ƒํ•œ๊ฑด ์•„๋‹ˆ์˜€๋‹ค๋Š”๊ฑฐ ์ฐธ๊ณ ํ•˜๋ฉด ์ข‹์„ ๋“ฏ