[📪정보] agi 달성 시기 예측 조사

[익명(211.253)]

In 2017 May, 352 AI experts who published at the 2015 NIPS and ICML conferences were surveyed. Based on survey results, experts estimate that there’s a 50% chance that AGI will occur until 2060. However, there’s significant difference of opinion based on geography: Asian respondents expect AGI in 30 years, whereas North Americans expect it in 74 years. Some significant job functions that are expected to be automated until 2030 are: Call center reps, truck driving, retail sales.

In 2019, 32 AI experts participated in a survey on AGI timing: 

• 45% of respondents predict a date before 2060
• 34% of all participants predicted a date after 2060
• 21% of participants predicted that singularity will never occur.

  
  

2019년 AGI TIMING 서베이에서 32명의 AI 연구자를 대상으로 조사한 결과

45퍼센트 즉 15명은 2060년 이전에 AGI 달성

34퍼센트 즉 11명은 2060년 이후에 AGI 달성

21퍼센트 즉 7명은  영원히 불가능 예측

[익명(211.253)]

https://research.aimultiple.com/artificial-general-intelligence-singularity-timing/

[dirofcnd(117.111)]

2035

[익명(218.152)]

2060 = 꼬마 선(형)충

[익명(121.135)]

선형충 홍오쉐리덜