[📺뉴스] 미국 싱크탱크 "제재는 대만 침공에 영향 못미칠것"

[익명(p5yn6st2e1bt)]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/can-sanctions-threat-deter-china-from-invading-taiwan-yes-and-no-study-finds-1be6d760?siteid=yhoof2

Can Sanctions Threat Deter China From Invading Taiwan? Yes and No, Study Finds

“In gaming out the use of economic coercion, it becomes clear that sanctions themselves will do little to impact Beijing’s calculations unless paired with a credible military threat, the CSIS commentary said. “If Xi Jinping doubts the United States’ political will to militarily intervene in a Taiwan crisis, or if he believes that the PLA will win a quick and decisive victory, the threat of sanctions would be toothless.”

미국의 유명 싱크탱크인 CSIS에선, 경제제재 해도 시진핑이 미군이 개입하지 않는다고 생각하거나, 개입하기전에 점령이 가능하다고 생각하면 그대로 침공 실행할거라고 본다함.