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OSINT ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์› Richard Vereker๋Š” RUSI ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ์˜ ์ตœ๊ทผ ๋ถ„์„ ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ๋…ผํ‰ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค . ์ด ๋ถ„์„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ์˜ 85%๋Š” ์†Œ๋ จ ์‹œ๋Œ€ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ 15%๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์ „ํˆฌ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Vereker๋Š” RUSI ๋ถ„์„์ด ํƒฑํฌ, ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ „ํˆฌ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ๋ณ„ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์ƒํ™ฉ์„ ๋” ์ž์„ธํžˆ ์‚ดํŽด๋ณด๊ณ  ์‹œ๊ฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฌธ์„œํ™”๋œ ์†์‹ค๊ณผ ๋น„๊ตํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์ „์ฐจ๊ฐ€ T-90M๊ณผ T-90S๋ผ๊ณ  ์ง€์ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ „๋ฉด์ „ ์ค‘ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์ „์ฒด ์ „์ฐจ ์†์‹ค์˜ 7.27%์— ๋ถˆ๊ณผํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋™์‹œ์—, ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋œ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ „ํˆฌ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰/์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ ์ค‘์—์„œ BMP-3, BMD-4 ๋ฐ BTR-82๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ๋ณ„ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค(์ผ๋ถ€๋Š” ์‹ ํ˜•์ด๊ณ  ์ผ๋ถ€๋Š” ํ˜„๋Œ€ํ™”๋œ BTR-80์ด๋ผ๊ณ  Vereker๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์ด ์ œ์•ˆํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค). ์•ฝ ์ ˆ๋ฐ˜์€ ์ƒˆ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ  ์ ˆ๋ฐ˜์€ ๋ณต์›๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค). ๋ณด๋ณ‘์ „ํˆฌ์ฐจ/์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ ์ค‘ ์ „๋ฉด์ „ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ๋™์•ˆ ์‹ ํ˜• ์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ์˜ ๋น„์ค‘์€ 25.92%์˜€๋‹ค.

Vereker๋Š” ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„๊ฐ€ ๋ชจ๋“  T-90A๋ฅผ T-90M ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์—…๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด๋“œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์ด๊ฒƒ์ด 2023๋…„์— ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ํƒฑํฌ์˜ ์‚ฌ์šฉ ์ฆ๊ฐ€(๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ ์†์‹ค)๋ฅผ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฏฟ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ค€๋น„๊ธˆ์€ ์ด์ œ ์†Œ์ง„๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์†์‹ค ๋น„์œจ์€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Vereker๋Š” ํƒฑํฌ๊ฐ€ ์ €์žฅ๊ณ ์—์„œ ์ œ๊ฑฐ๋˜๋Š” ์†๋„์™€ T-90 ์†์‹ค ๋น„์œจ์„ ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„ ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ์—์„œ ์™„์ „ํžˆ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ํƒฑํฌ์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์†๋„๊ฐ€ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 50๋Œ€ ์— ๋ถˆ๊ณผํ•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฏฟ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฉ”๋””์•„.

์ „๋ฉด์ „ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ์— ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ „ํˆฌ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰/์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ์˜ ์†์‹ค ๋น„์œจ์€ 30%์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ ์ดํ›„ 22%๋กœ ๋–จ์–ด์กŒ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ๋Š” ๋‹ค์‹œ 29%๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๊ณ  ๊ณ„์†ํ•ด์„œ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋”์šฑ์ด, ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ์ „์Ÿ์—์„œ 1๋Œ€ 2์˜€๋˜ ์ „์ฐจ ์†์‹ค๊ณผ ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ „ํˆฌ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰/์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ ์†์‹ค ๋น„์œจ์ด ์ด์ œ 1๋Œ€ 4.35๋กœ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚ฌ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Vereker๋Š” ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ํ†ต๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„๊ฐ€ ํƒฑํฌ๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ „ํˆฌ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰๊ณผ ์žฅ๊ฐ‘์ฐจ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์— ํ›จ์”ฌ ๋” ๋งŽ์€ ์ž์›์„ ์Ÿ์•„ ๋ถ€์—ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฏฟ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ด์ œ๋Š” ํƒฑํฌ ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ณด์ƒํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ณด๋ณ‘ ์ˆ˜์†ก์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ „ํˆฌ ์ฐจ๋Ÿ‰ ๊ฐ„์˜ ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ณด์ƒํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด ๋‹ค์†Œ ๋” ์‰ฝ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

@yigal_levin

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